Can the White Sox top last year’s 60 wins in 2026?
Oddsmakers in Vegas believe it’s possible, though they are only cautiously optimistic. Depending on where you look, the team’s over/under is currently sitting slightly higher between 64.5 and 67.5 wins.
- FanDuel: 64.5 wins (O -118, U -104)
- DraftKings: 65.5 wins (O -105, U -115)
- BetMGM: 65.5 wins (O -115, U -105)
- Caesars: 66.5 wins (O -110, U -110)
- Hard Rock Bet: 67.5 wins (O -120, U + 110)
These lines come just a year removed from a laughably low over/under fueled by a historically bad 2024 season. To be fair, the White Sox earned it, finishing with a -306 run differential while setting the modern era record with 121 losses.
Though 2025 still wasn’t good by most standards, the Sox made big strides and comfortably hit their over, improving by 19 wins under first-year manager Will Venable. A young core headlined by rookies Colson Montgomery and Kyle Teel helped breathe new life into the lineup and gave us a glimpse of more competitive baseball that is to come.
That competitiveness may not fully show up in 2026, but the outlook is still trending upwards. The White Sox have addressed a few key needs by signing Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami and reliever Seranthony Domínguez, among other moves. Trading away Luis Robert Jr. has left the outfield with further uncertainty, but the Mets taking on his full $20 million leaves the Sox with flexibility to potentially add another outfielder or starting pitcher before camp.
Even with reasons for optimism, sportsbook projections offer a reality check, as the White Sox remain firmly in the league’s bottom tier. Only the Rockies carry a lower average win total at DraftKings (52.5), while teams like the Nationals (66.5), Angels (70.5), and Cardinals (71.5) sit in a similar range. Within the AL Central, the Twins are next at 73.5 wins, followed by the Guardians at 80.5, the Royals slightly ahead at 81.5, and the Tigers leading the division at 84.5.
Hitting the win total again in 2026 will likely hinge on the performance of the White Sox’s pitching staff and second-year players. With the potential for both breakout success and growing pains, this year’s over/under is a tough one to judge. If you’re like me and leaning on the side of optimism, though, let’s hammer that over.
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Featured Photo: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images
